Aizawl vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
10º
9º
14
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 0
AIZ
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 1
AIZ
17%
21%
61%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AIZ
4 - 0
CHU
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
5 - 4
AIZ
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 3
AIZ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NER
0 - 3
GFC
12%
21%
67%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NER
1 - 1
SDF
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RKF
3 - 0
NER
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
NER
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NER
1 - 0
TRA
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |