Aittitos Spata vs Ermis Kiveri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aittitos Spata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
AIT
31%
23%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AIT
5 - 1
TRI
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ERM
1 - 0
AIT
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AIT
2 - 0
MYT
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
AIT
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ermis Kiveri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
EKI
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
EKI
0 - 2
MYT
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 0
EKI
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EKI
1 - 0
RAF
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EKI
4 - 0
CHA
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |