Airbus UK vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
5º
6º
6º
36
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
AIR
19%
21%
61%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLI
5 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |