Ain Sud vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
AIN
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
AIN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AIN
3 - 1
LIM
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
AIN
16%
19%
66%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AIN
0 - 0
VAU
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
THO
3 - 1
BOU
61%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
THO
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THO
1 - 2
CLE
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
THO
5 - 0
MOU
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 1
THO
33%
22%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |