4ª Catalana . Jor. 20

Aiguafreda vs Castellterçol analysis

Aiguafreda Castellterçol
5 ELO 10
19.1% Tilt 1.5%
17534º General ELO ranking 17826º
4732º Country ELO ranking 4870º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Aiguafreda
21.9%
Draw
44.8%
Castellterçol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
Aiguafreda
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.8%
Win probability
Castellterçol
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aiguafreda
+154%
-93%
Castellterçol

ELO progression

Aiguafreda
Castellterçol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aiguafreda
Aiguafreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2017
SEU
JE Santa Eugènia
1 - 0
Aiguafreda
AIG
58%
20%
23%
7 8 1 0
04 Feb. 2017
AIG
Aiguafreda
3 - 3
UD Taradell B
TAR
62%
18%
20%
7 5 2 0
28 Jan. 2017
BRU
CE El Brull
2 - 1
Aiguafreda
AIG
57%
19%
24%
7 8 1 0
21 Jan. 2017
AIG
Aiguafreda
1 - 5
Seva
SEV
26%
21%
53%
8 13 5 -1
14 Jan. 2017
FOL
Folgueroles B
2 - 0
Aiguafreda
AIG
22%
20%
58%
10 5 5 -2

Matches

Castellterçol
Castellterçol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2017
SJV
Sant Julià Vilatorta
2 - 3
Castellterçol
CAS
49%
21%
30%
9 8 1 0
05 Feb. 2017
CAS
Castellterçol
3 - 0
JE Santa Eugènia
SEU
51%
20%
29%
8 8 0 +1
29 Jan. 2017
TAR
UD Taradell B
0 - 1
Castellterçol
CAS
33%
23%
44%
8 5 3 0
22 Jan. 2017
CAS
Castellterçol
1 - 1
CE El Brull
BRU
49%
21%
30%
8 8 0 0
15 Jan. 2017
SEV
Seva
1 - 0
Castellterçol
CAS
74%
15%
11%
8 12 4 0
X