Aigle Noir vs Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
AIG
1 - 0
CAV
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
JSC
1 - 2
AIG
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AIG
1 - 1
GON
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
DON
0 - 2
AIG
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AIG
1 - 0
CAP
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 2
JSC
57%
26%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAL
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VIO
1 - 2
VIC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIC
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DON
2 - 0
VIC
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |