Aigle Noir vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
DON
1 - 2
AIG
49%
29%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CAV
0 - 2
AIG
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AIG
0 - 0
DAC
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AIG
1 - 2
RAC
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 1
AIG
53%
27%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 0
DAC
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
0 - 0
DON
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ASM
0 - 0
CAP
40%
32%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAP
3 - 0
BAL
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIO
0 - 0
CAP
45%
31%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |