Burundi League Round 12

Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis

Aigle Noir Le Messager Ngozi
40 ELO 42
-1% Tilt -5.8%
7204º General ELO ranking 7558º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.6%
Aigle Noir
24.5%
Draw
24.9%
Le Messager Ngozi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
Aigle Noir
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
Le Messager Ngozi
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aigle Noir
+72%
-24%
Le Messager Ngozi

ELO progression

Aigle Noir
Le Messager Ngozi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aigle Noir
Aigle Noir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2023
ANM
Aigle Noir
1 - 2
Vital'O
VIT
51%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
27 Oct. 2023
RUK
Rukinzo
1 - 2
Aigle Noir
ANM
47%
25%
28%
41 42 1 +1
22 Oct. 2023
ANM
Aigle Noir
1 - 3
Moso Sugar
MSU
66%
18%
16%
42 36 6 -1
18 Oct. 2023
MFC
Musongati
0 - 1
Aigle Noir
ANM
39%
27%
34%
42 42 0 0
13 Oct. 2023
TEL
Telaviv
1 - 3
Aigle Noir
ANM
38%
25%
37%
43 37 6 -1

Matches

Le Messager Ngozi
Le Messager Ngozi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
0 - 0
Olympic Star
STA
43%
28%
29%
41 41 0 0
22 Oct. 2023
BUM
Bumamuru
1 - 1
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
53%
24%
24%
41 41 0 0
13 Oct. 2023
RUK
Rukinzo
2 - 0
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
42%
26%
32%
43 41 2 -2
08 Oct. 2023
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
3 - 1
Moso Sugar
MSU
50%
26%
24%
43 36 7 0
03 Oct. 2023
TEL
Telaviv
1 - 1
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
41%
25%
33%
42 38 4 +1