Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ANM
1 - 2
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RUK
1 - 2
ANM
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ANM
1 - 3
MSU
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
ANM
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 3
ANM
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NGO
0 - 0
STA
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BUM
1 - 1
NGO
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
RUK
2 - 0
NGO
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NGO
3 - 1
MSU
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 1
NGO
41%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |