Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability

1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability

1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+63%
-20%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
8º
5º
56
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
![]() |
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
![]() |
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
![]() 0 - 0
![]() ANM
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
05 Feb. 2023 |
ANM
![]() 2 - 1
![]() BUM
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
29 Jan. 2023 |
ANM
![]() 2 - 1
![]() KAY
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
22 Jan. 2023 |
NOI
![]() 1 - 2
![]() ANM
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
07 Dec. 2022 |
ANM
![]() 1 - 1
![]() FLA
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 Feb. 2023 |
NGO
![]() 1 - 0
![]() NOI
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
05 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
![]() 0 - 1
![]() NGO
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
29 Jan. 2023 |
NGO
![]() 2 - 0
![]() STA
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
22 Jan. 2023 |
DYN
![]() 0 - 3
![]() NGO
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
04 Dec. 2022 |
NGO
![]() 2 - 1
![]() DYN
51%
27%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |