Burundi League Round 20

Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis

Aigle Noir Le Messager Ngozi
42 ELO 43
5.1% Tilt -7%
7204º General ELO ranking 7558º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54%
Aigle Noir
23.8%
Draw
22.3%
Le Messager Ngozi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Aigle Noir
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
Le Messager Ngozi
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aigle Noir
+63%
-20%
Le Messager Ngozi

Points and table prediction

Aigle Noir
Their league position
Le Messager Ngozi
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bumamuru
68
68
100%
Flambeau du Centre
67
67
100%
Le Messager Ngozi
56
56
100%
Vital'O
54
54
100%
Aigle Noir
53
53
100%
Rukinzo
42
42
100%
Kayanza
40
40
100%
Musongati
37
37
100%
Olympic Star
37
37
100%
Tigre Noir
10º
34
34
10º
0%
Magara Young Boys
11º
34
34
11º
0%
Dynamik
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Inter Star
13º
29
29
13º
100%
Bujumbura City
14º
27
27
14º
100%
New Oil
15º
27
27
15º
100%
TOP Junior
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aigle Noir
Le Messager Ngozi
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aigle Noir
Le Messager Ngozi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aigle Noir
Aigle Noir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
VIT
Vital'O
0 - 0
Aigle Noir
ANM
46%
25%
29%
42 42 0 0
05 Feb. 2023
ANM
Aigle Noir
2 - 1
Bumamuru
BUM
53%
24%
24%
42 42 0 0
29 Jan. 2023
ANM
Aigle Noir
2 - 1
Kayanza
KAY
53%
24%
24%
42 42 0 0
22 Jan. 2023
NOI
New Oil
1 - 2
Aigle Noir
ANM
29%
23%
48%
42 36 6 0
07 Dec. 2022
ANM
Aigle Noir
1 - 1
Flambeau du Centre
FLA
48%
24%
28%
41 42 1 +1

Matches

Le Messager Ngozi
Le Messager Ngozi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
1 - 0
New Oil
NOI
64%
20%
17%
42 32 10 0
05 Feb. 2023
MFC
Musongati
0 - 1
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
34%
28%
38%
42 38 4 0
29 Jan. 2023
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
2 - 0
Olympic Star
STA
54%
26%
20%
42 37 5 0
22 Jan. 2023
DYN
Dynamik
0 - 3
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
34%
28%
38%
42 38 4 0
04 Dec. 2022
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
2 - 1
Dynamik
DYN
51%
27%
23%
42 39 3 0