Aguilarense vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 1
AGU
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SOL
2 - 1
AGU
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AGU
3 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 4
AGU
36%
26%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
ARH
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARH
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASJ
0 - 0
ARH
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARH
3 - 0
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 3
ARH
30%
27%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |