Águias do Moradal vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
ADM
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |