Águia Negra vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 1
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
AGU
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
URS
2 - 2
AGU
18%
22%
61%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
APA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 1
MIX
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
CUI
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
0 - 1
MIX
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
5 - 1
MIX
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |