Águia Negra vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
AGU
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
URS
2 - 2
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
6 - 1
OAC
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 0
OPE
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
OAC
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 5 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
COR
4 - 1
COS
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
COS
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
7DE
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |