Aguia de Maraba vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
CUI
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
AGU
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
REM
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
TRA
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |