Água Santa vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 2
AGU
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
4 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 1
RIO
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
1 - 0
PAU
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAU
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |