AD Estudiantil vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Estudiantil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIV
4 - 1
AGR
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
4 - 2
OVA
70%
18%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ART
3 - 0
AGR
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
2 - 3
MIL
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 2
AGR
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DUB
1 - 2
CDC
67%
18%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 1
CDC
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |