Agropoli vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agropoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
AGR
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
VIG
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
AGR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
LEO
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
AGR
38%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |