AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
5º
48
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
VEJ
0 - 0
AGF
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BRY
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 1
VFF
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 1
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 5
FCK
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 0
MID
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESB
6 - 0
MID
16%
20%
63%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
MID
0 - 1
FFK
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 1
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MID
7 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |