AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AGF
1 - 1
SON
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
AGF
2 - 0
SIF
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ESB
2 - 0
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MID
1 - 2
OBK
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MID
2 - 2
SON
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACH
3 - 4
MID
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |