1st Division Round 30

AGF Aarhus vs HB Køge analysis

AGF Aarhus HB Køge
70 ELO 60
-3.6% Tilt 18.9%
299º General ELO ranking 2399º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
64.8%
AGF Aarhus
21.8%
Draw
13.4%
HB Køge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.4%
Win probability
HB Køge
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-15%
+3%
HB Køge

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
HB Køge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2015
AGF
AGF Aarhus
0 - 1
Fredericia
FRE
67%
21%
12%
71 58 13 0
07 May. 2015
ROS
Roskilde
0 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
25%
25%
50%
70 62 8 +1
03 May. 2015
AGF
AGF Aarhus
4 - 0
Brønshøj
BRØ
69%
20%
11%
70 56 14 0
26 Apr. 2015
VEJ
Vejle BK
1 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
23%
25%
52%
69 60 9 +1
19 Apr. 2015
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 1
Viborg FF
VFF
51%
26%
23%
70 67 3 -1

Matches

HB Køge
HB Køge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2015
VEJ
Vejle BK
1 - 0
HB Køge
HBK
45%
28%
28%
60 59 1 0
08 May. 2015
HBK
HB Køge
0 - 1
Viborg FF
VFF
32%
28%
40%
60 67 7 0
03 May. 2015
HBK
HB Køge
1 - 1
AC Horsens
ACH
33%
26%
40%
60 64 4 0
24 Apr. 2015
SKI
Skive
1 - 1
HB Køge
HBK
47%
26%
27%
60 60 0 0
19 Apr. 2015
HBK
HB Køge
3 - 0
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
53%
26%
22%
59 55 4 +1