AGF Aarhus vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
AKA
1 - 1
AGF
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
5 - 0
AGF
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AGF
2 - 0
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AGF
1 - 2
SON
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 1
AGF
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FRE
3 - 2
KOL
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
HEL
2 - 4
FRE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
NAE
2 - 2
FRE
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AKA
4 - 1
FRE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 1
ESB
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |