AGF Aarhus vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AKA
1 - 5
AGF
24%
24%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
VFF
0 - 2
AGF
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
HBK
0 - 0
AGF
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AGF
0 - 2
VFF
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BRØ
0 - 5
AGF
30%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
SKI
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 1
LYN
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 4
FRE
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AKA
2 - 0
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
VEJ
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |