Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-5
AGF Aarhus vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 2
MID
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 1
AGF
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AGF
5 - 1
BIF
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KBK
1 - 3
AGF
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
ZES
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FTK
3 - 2
GOR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 2
ZES
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
GOR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GOR
5 - 1
KOL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |