AGF Aarhus vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 3
AGF
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AGF
1 - 1
ACH
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
OBK
2 - 1
AGF
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FCK
2 - 0
AGF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ESB
1 - 3
MID
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ESB
2 - 2
LYN
37%
26%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
B93
1 - 0
ESB
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 0
ESB
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
3 - 0
ESB
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |