AGF Aarhus vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
3º
21
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SON
1 - 4
AGF
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 3
FCK
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 0
AIK
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
PHU
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
LNZ
4 - 2
AAB
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
BOG
3 - 5
AAB
64%
18%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
AAB
3 - 5
SES
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
AAB
6 - 1
ACH
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VFF
2 - 0
AAB
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |