Danish Superliga Round 21

AGF Aarhus vs Aalborg BK analysis

AGF Aarhus Aalborg BK
70 ELO 77
25.4% Tilt 3.7%
307º General ELO ranking 652º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
46.1%
AGF Aarhus
24%
Draw
29.9%
Aalborg BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.9%
Win probability
Aalborg BK
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-11%
-19%
Aalborg BK

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
Aalborg BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2003
FCN
Nordsjaelland
1 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
60%
22%
18%
69 74 5 0
30 Nov. 2003
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 3
Herfølge BK
HER
59%
21%
20%
70 70 0 -1
23 Nov. 2003
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
68%
20%
12%
70 83 13 0
08 Nov. 2003
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 1
Midtjylland
MID
44%
24%
31%
69 77 8 +1
02 Nov. 2003
BKF
BK Frem 1886
1 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
60%
22%
18%
68 72 4 +1

Matches

Aalborg BK
Aalborg BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2003
AAB
Aalborg BK
1 - 1
Brøndby IF
BIF
32%
25%
43%
76 85 9 0
29 Nov. 2003
ESB
Esbjerg
4 - 2
Aalborg BK
AAB
57%
22%
21%
77 79 2 -1
23 Nov. 2003
AAB
Aalborg BK
3 - 1
Odense BK
OBK
41%
25%
35%
76 79 3 +1
09 Nov. 2003
AAB
Aalborg BK
3 - 3
Nordsjaelland
FCN
55%
23%
21%
76 73 3 0
02 Nov. 2003
HER
Herfølge BK
3 - 3
Aalborg BK
AAB
45%
25%
30%
76 71 5 0