Şagadam vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
KAS
2 - 1
AGA
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
AGA
2 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
AHA
1 - 1
AGA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 4
ARK
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
BFT
1 - 8
ARK
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
AHA
2 - 0
BFT
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
BFT
1 - 0
KAS
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
BFT
2 - 0
AGA
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MER
0 - 0
BFT
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |