Şagadam vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AGA
2 - 1
MER
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KAS
2 - 1
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
EFT
1 - 1
AGA
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 1
AGA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AHA
4 - 0
AGA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AGA
0 - 0
ALT
24%
23%
54%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 0
EFT
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 2
MER
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |