African Lyon vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Lyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 0
TOT
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
3 - 1
MBA
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JKT
0 - 0
AFR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
YOU
3 - 0
AFR
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 1
AFR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 0
KAG
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 0
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
SUN
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
MBE
36%
31%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |