Pernambucano Championship 2 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Afogados vs Timbaúba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
3 - 0
LIM
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIM
0 - 0
AFO
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
4 - 0
FEC
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 2
AFO
18%
21%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAB
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AEB
1 - 1
TFC
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
TFC
6 - 2
AEB
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VCR
1 - 1
TFC
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 0
ISC
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
FEC
0 - 2
TFC
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |