Afogados vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
PER
0 - 1
AFO
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
2 - 1
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
2 - 2
ACA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
AFO
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
AFO
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
FEC
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
3 - 2
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |