Afogados vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 0
AFO
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFO
1 - 1
SPO
6%
19%
75%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
AFO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
MAG
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
PET
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 1
PET
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JAC
3 - 0
PET
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 3
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |