Conference South Round 35

AFC Wimbledon vs Welling United analysis

AFC Wimbledon Welling United
59 ELO 52
8.7% Tilt 5.2%
2156º General ELO ranking 8434º
60º Country ELO ranking 350º
ELO win probability
65.7%
AFC Wimbledon
20.5%
Draw
13.8%
Welling United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
Welling United
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+4%
-24%
Welling United

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Welling United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2009
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Dorchester Town
DOR
77%
16%
8%
59 40 19 0
10 Mar. 2009
STA
St. Albans City
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
26%
25%
49%
60 47 13 -1
07 Mar. 2009
WES
Weston-super-Mare
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
21%
24%
55%
60 42 18 0
28 Feb. 2009
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
27%
25%
47%
60 50 10 0
24 Feb. 2009
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Worcester City
WOR
73%
18%
10%
60 46 14 0

Matches

Welling United
Welling United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2009
WEL
Welling United
4 - 0
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
25%
26%
50%
49 60 11 0
10 Mar. 2009
BAS
Basingstoke Town
0 - 0
Welling United
WEL
36%
27%
37%
49 45 4 0
07 Mar. 2009
WEL
Welling United
2 - 1
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
39%
26%
36%
48 51 3 +1
28 Feb. 2009
BRA
Braintree Town
1 - 1
Welling United
WEL
46%
27%
28%
48 50 2 0
24 Feb. 2009
WEL
Welling United
0 - 2
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
45%
25%
30%
49 50 1 -1