League One Round 5

AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland analysis

AFC Wimbledon Sunderland
58 ELO 65
2.2% Tilt -11.5%
2394º General ELO ranking 670º
63º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
31%
AFC Wimbledon
26.4%
Draw
42.7%
Sunderland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.6%
Win probability
Sunderland
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+5%
-2%
Sunderland

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Sunderland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2018
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Walsall
WAL
51%
25%
24%
60 57 3 0
18 Aug. 2018
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
55%
24%
21%
60 61 1 0
14 Aug. 2018
OPA
Portsmouth
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
54%
24%
23%
59 62 3 +1
11 Aug. 2018
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Coventry City
COV
43%
27%
30%
59 60 1 0
04 Aug. 2018
FLE
Fleetwood Town
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
49%
26%
25%
58 59 1 +1

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2018
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 4
Sunderland
SUN
37%
26%
37%
64 59 5 0
19 Aug. 2018
SUN
Sunderland
3 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
46%
26%
28%
63 62 1 +1
16 Aug. 2018
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
37%
25%
38%
64 68 4 -1
11 Aug. 2018
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 1
Sunderland
SUN
50%
24%
26%
64 64 0 0
04 Aug. 2018
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 1
Charlton Athletic
CHA
54%
25%
21%
63 60 3 +1