AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
GIL
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
AFC
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STE
1 - 2
SCU
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
STE
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STE
0 - 2
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STE
5 - 1
SHW
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 1
STE
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |