National League Round 17

AFC Wimbledon vs Darlington FC analysis

AFC Wimbledon Darlington FC
57 ELO 52
2.1% Tilt 9.7%
2394º General ELO ranking 5061º
63º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
64.2%
AFC Wimbledon
21.6%
Draw
14.2%
Darlington FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
Darlington FC
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+2%
-6%
Darlington FC

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Darlington FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gateshead
GAT
57%
23%
20%
58 51 7 0
09 Oct. 2010
WRE
Wrexham AFC
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
32%
27%
41%
57 54 3 +1
05 Oct. 2010
MAN
Mansfield Town
2 - 5
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
44%
26%
30%
56 55 1 +1
02 Oct. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
66%
20%
14%
56 45 11 0
29 Sep. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Cambridge United
CAM
53%
25%
22%
55 54 1 +1

Matches

Darlington FC
Darlington FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2010
MAN
Mansfield Town
1 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
58%
23%
19%
50 53 3 0
09 Oct. 2010
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 1
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
52%
25%
24%
51 46 5 -1
05 Oct. 2010
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
2 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
56%
25%
19%
51 56 5 0
02 Oct. 2010
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
43%
28%
29%
52 53 1 -1
27 Sep. 2010
YOR
York City
0 - 0
Darlington FC
DAR
56%
25%
19%
52 59 7 0