Varndeanians vs Bexhill United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 0
VAR
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KNA
3 - 0
VAR
41%
22%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
VAR
61%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
VAR
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
BRO
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bexhill United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
BEX
0 - 5
CRO
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BEX
3 - 1
NOR
56%
20%
23%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STC
3 - 1
BEX
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 2
BEX
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LCO
0 - 0
BEX
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +3 |