Uckfield Town vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uckfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 8
CRA
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 0
AUC
90%
8%
2%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAY
6 - 0
AUC
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 3
HOR
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 5
PEA
9%
17%
74%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
PAG
3 - 1
HOR
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 0
PAG
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PAG
3 - 3
EAS
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 0
PEA
12%
18%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
STC
4 - 2
PAG
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |