Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 1

AFC Totton vs Hereford analysis

AFC Totton Hereford
23 ELO 44
16.3% Tilt 14.9%
5082º General ELO ranking 5355º
155º Country ELO ranking 166º
ELO win probability
17.1%
AFC Totton
18.7%
Draw
64.2%
Hereford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
AFC Totton
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
64.2%
Win probability
Hereford
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Totton
+15%
-13%
Hereford

ELO progression

AFC Totton
Hereford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Totton
AFC Totton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2016
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
4 - 0
AFC Totton
AFT
73%
17%
10%
23 45 22 0
23 Apr. 2016
MAN
Mangotsfield United
1 - 1
AFC Totton
AFT
52%
22%
26%
23 25 2 0
19 Apr. 2016
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 2
Wimborne Town
WIM
62%
20%
18%
24 22 2 -1
16 Apr. 2016
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 5
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
30%
23%
48%
25 35 10 -1
12 Apr. 2016
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 2
Cinderford Town
CIN
28%
25%
48%
26 38 12 -1