AFC Totton vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
AFT
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
STO
3 - 0
AFT
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
4 - 0
AFT
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
AFT
5 - 2
WEY
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
KET
1 - 3
ARL
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BID
1 - 1
ARL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 3
STA
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 2
LEA
39%
25%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 3
ARL
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |