AFC Sudbury vs Great Wakering Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
YEL
0 - 0
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
YEL
0 - 2
THA
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 0
YEL
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
NEE
2 - 1
YEL
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Great Wakering Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ILF
1 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
7 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
WAR
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
SOH
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |