FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 2-4
AFC Mansfield vs Pickering Town CFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TAD
1 - 1
MAN
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
HED
0 - 1
MAN
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
HED
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
BRI
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
SOH
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pickering Town CFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PIC
67%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 3
PIC
68%
16%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 2
DRO
24%
19%
58%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 4
FRI
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 0
STO
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +3 |