AFC Leopards vs Thika United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NAK
0 - 2
AFC
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
KCB
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WES
2 - 1
AFC
30%
29%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
MUH
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TUS
0 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
THI
3 - 1
BAN
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
THI
1 - 1
MAT
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUH
1 - 0
THI
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
THI
0 - 1
NAK
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAI
2 - 3
THI
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |