Humpolec vs Chotebor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
8º
15º
11º
0
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
14º
|
0 | 29 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 29 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 27 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 27 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 27 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 25 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 25 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 24 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 21 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 19 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 18 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 17 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 15 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 58.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humpolec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
HUM
0 - 2
ZNO
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
HUM
0 - 1
TEB
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
DIR
0 - 0
HUM
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HUM
2 - 3
VEL
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
VRC
3 - 3
HUM
73%
17%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chotebor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CHO
3 - 2
DIR
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
HFK
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 9
SLP
5%
13%
82%
|
11 | 85 | 74 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 6
SLA
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 2
PEL
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +2 |