AFC Hayes vs Northwood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
UXB
0 - 2
AFH
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
AFH
6 - 2
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AYL
4 - 1
AFH
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
AFH
2 - 1
UXB
20%
21%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 1
BEA
43%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
UXB
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BET
3 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
LEI
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 5
ARL
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 3
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |