Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 3

AFC Hayes vs Cinderford Town analysis

AFC Hayes Cinderford Town
33 ELO 25
34.6% Tilt 19%
22750º General ELO ranking 13540º
1015º Country ELO ranking 766º
ELO win probability
71.5%
AFC Hayes
16.1%
Draw
12.4%
Cinderford Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
AFC Hayes
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.4%
Win probability
Cinderford Town
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

AFC Hayes
Cinderford Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Hayes
AFC Hayes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2009
AFH
AFC Hayes
0 - 4
Hungerford Town
HUN
57%
21%
23%
35 36 1 0
15 Aug. 2009
YAT
Yate Town
1 - 0
AFC Hayes
AFH
40%
23%
36%
35 32 3 0
25 Apr. 2009
GOS
Gosport Borough
0 - 3
AFC Hayes
AFH
38%
24%
39%
33 30 3 +2
20 Apr. 2009
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 1
AFC Hayes
AFH
35%
24%
41%
34 30 4 -1
18 Apr. 2009
AFH
AFC Hayes
4 - 1
Andover
AND
69%
17%
14%
33 27 6 +1

Matches

Cinderford Town
Cinderford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2009
NOR
North Leigh
4 - 2
Cinderford Town
CIN
59%
22%
20%
26 35 9 0
15 Aug. 2009
CIN
Cinderford Town
0 - 1
Windsor & Eton FC
WEF
22%
23%
56%
27 42 15 -1
25 Apr. 2009
CIN
Cinderford Town
3 - 2
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
56%
22%
21%
25 25 0 +2
18 Apr. 2009
AFT
AFC Totton
3 - 3
Cinderford Town
CIN
75%
15%
10%
25 43 18 0
13 Apr. 2009
CIN
Cinderford Town
3 - 3
Bishop's Cleeve
BIS
34%
25%
41%
25 31 6 0