FA Trophy 1/512
Global 1-2
AFC Hayes vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
AFH
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AFH
2 - 2
NOR
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
LEI
4 - 1
AFH
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AYL
0 - 1
AFH
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AFH
2 - 0
DAV
16%
22%
63%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
AFH
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 6
POT
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STI
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KET
0 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
RUG
21%
22%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |