Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 5

AFC Dunstable vs Stotfold FC analysis

AFC Dunstable Stotfold FC
28 ELO 30
-3.4% Tilt -12.9%
8446º General ELO ranking 8361º
440º Country ELO ranking 430º
ELO win probability
37.3%
AFC Dunstable
22.7%
Draw
40%
Stotfold FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
AFC Dunstable
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40%
Win probability
Stotfold FC
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Dunstable
+26%
+44%
Stotfold FC

Points and table prediction

AFC Dunstable
Their league position
Stotfold FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
13º
55
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
AFC Dunstable
Stotfold FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

AFC Dunstable
Stotfold FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Dunstable
AFC Dunstable
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2023
LEI
Leighton Town
1 - 2
AFC Dunstable
AFD
79%
15%
6%
24 44 20 0
26 Aug. 2023
AFD
AFC Dunstable
5 - 6
Kings Langley
KIN
38%
24%
38%
25 28 3 -1
19 Aug. 2023
WAR
Ware
2 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
64%
19%
17%
25 30 5 0
15 Aug. 2023
AFD
AFC Dunstable
2 - 4
North Leigh
NOR
29%
22%
48%
27 32 5 -2
12 Aug. 2023
HER
Hertford Town
1 - 2
AFC Dunstable
AFD
54%
21%
25%
26 25 1 +1

Matches

Stotfold FC
Stotfold FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
RED
Redbridge
1 - 0
Stotfold FC
STO
51%
21%
28%
32 36 4 0
28 Aug. 2023
STO
Stotfold FC
1 - 3
Biggleswade Town
BIG
50%
21%
29%
33 33 0 -1
26 Aug. 2023
CIR
Cirencester Town
2 - 2
Stotfold FC
STO
59%
19%
22%
33 34 1 0
15 Aug. 2023
STO
Stotfold FC
2 - 0
Hadley
HAD
59%
20%
22%
31 28 3 +2
12 Aug. 2023
STO
Stotfold FC
4 - 3
Aylesbury United
AYL
70%
16%
14%
31 21 10 0
X