AFC Dunstable vs Hadley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
13º
5º
52
7º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AYL
2 - 1
AFD
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AFD
4 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
KEM
0 - 2
AFD
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AFD
4 - 4
LEI
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
AFD
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAD
4 - 3
WAL
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAD
3 - 0
THA
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
2 - 1
STO
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 3
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 3
HAD
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |