Non League Div One Southern Central round 1

AFC Dunstable vs Colney Heath analysis

AFC Dunstable Colney Heath
29 ELO 19
-2.1% Tilt -6.7%
19896º General ELO ranking 19894º
637º Country ELO ranking 635º
ELO win probability
77.9%
AFC Dunstable
13.4%
Draw
8.7%
Colney Heath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
AFC Dunstable
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.7%
Win probability
Colney Heath
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Dunstable
+20%
+45%
Colney Heath

ELO progression

AFC Dunstable
Colney Heath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Dunstable
AFC Dunstable
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
3 - 1
Halesowen Town
HAL
22%
23%
55%
26 40 14 0
24 Oct. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
2 - 2
St. Neots Town
STN
57%
21%
22%
25 23 2 +1
13 Oct. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
2 - 0
Corby Town
COR
10%
16%
73%
21 40 19 +4
10 Oct. 2020
BED
Bedworth United
1 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
71%
17%
12%
21 27 6 0
06 Oct. 2020
WAN
Wantage Town
3 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
18%
21%
61%
22 14 8 -1

Matches

Colney Heath
Colney Heath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2020
NSA
New Salamis
1 - 0
Colney Heath
COL
72%
16%
12%
19 35 16 0
07 Sep. 2019
COL
Colney Heath
1 - 3
Corby Town
COR
11%
15%
74%
20 39 19 -1
24 Aug. 2019
LON
Long Melford
0 - 2
Colney Heath
COL
22%
20%
59%
20 14 6 0
10 Aug. 2019
HAV
Haverhill Rovers
1 - 6
Colney Heath
COL
27%
21%
52%
19 16 3 +1
25 Aug. 2018
COL
Colney Heath
1 - 3
Cinderford Town
CIN
19%
19%
62%
20 31 11 -1